X 社では, 現在開発中である新商品 Y の発売が遅れる可能性と, 遅れた場合における今後の業績に与える影響の大きさについて, 分析と評価を行った。この取組みに該当するものとして, 適切なものはどれか。
平成30年度 秋期 ITパスポート試験 問21
This question's explanation and your answers so far.
問 21
Incorrectア
ABC analysis is a method that divides items such as inventory or sales into groups A, B, and C in descending order of monetary value or importance, thereby narrowing down which items to manage intensively. Its purpose is prioritization using a Pareto chart; it does not evaluate the likelihood of a delay or its impact on business performance.
Incorrectイ
SWOT analysis is a method that organizes a company's four factors—Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, and Threats—to examine its management strategy. It captures the overall picture of the business environment and is not an activity for analyzing and evaluating the likelihood and impact of a specific risk.
Incorrectウ
Environmental assessment (environmental impact assessment) is a procedure that investigates, predicts, and evaluates in advance the effects a development project has on the surrounding natural and living environment. Its object is the impact on the “environment,” not the evaluation of a business risk such as a delayed product launch.
- エ
正解 Risk assessment is a series of activities: identifying possible risks (risk identification), analyzing their likelihood of occurrence and the magnitude of their impact (risk analysis), and then judging whether a response is needed and with what priority (risk evaluation). In the question, “the possibility that the launch is delayed” corresponds to the probability of occurrence, and “the magnitude of the impact on business performance” corresponds to the degree of impact; both are being analyzed and evaluated. This fully matches the definition of risk assessment, so エ is correct.
- Risk assessment = the flow of risk identification → risk analysis (likelihood and impact) → risk evaluation. Whenever the keywords are analyzing and evaluating “how likely something is” and “how large its impact is,” it points to risk assessment.
- Distinguishing the confusing terms: ABC analysis = intensive management, SWOT analysis = strategic analysis of strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats, environmental assessment = evaluation of impact on the environment. Each evaluates a different object.